Lever Impact
Lever Impact
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    • Home
    • Services
      • ESG Transformation
      • Energy Transition
      • Sustainability Reporting
      • GHG Accounting
      • Climate Scenario Analysis
      • Capital Advisory
      • Deal Advisory
      • CFO Services
    • About
    • ESG Insight
    • Contact Us
    • Book a Session
  • Home
  • Services
    • ESG Transformation
    • Energy Transition
    • Sustainability Reporting
    • GHG Accounting
    • Climate Scenario Analysis
    • Capital Advisory
    • Deal Advisory
    • CFO Services
  • About
  • ESG Insight
  • Contact Us
  • Book a Session
Climate Scenario Analysis for Financial Outcomes

Translate Climate Risk into Capital Decisions

Lever Impact delivers investment-grade climate scenario analysis that connects physical and transition risks to revenue, costs, asset values, capital expenditure and valuation, enabling decision-makers to act with confidence.

Why Climate Scenario Analysis Matters

Climate change affects businesses through physical disruption, supply chain volatility, asset impairment, cost inflation and capital access. Scenario analysis is the mechanism regulators, investors and lenders use to understand whether a business model is resilient under different climate futures.


with Lever Impact, climate scenario analysis:

  • Informs capital allocation and investment prioritisation
  • Identifies value-at-risk and resilience opportunities
  • Supports AASB S2 compliant disclosures
  • Strengthens investor and lender confidence
  • Guides transition planning and portfolio optimisation


Our approach ensures scenario analysis is financially anchored, decision-useful and credible.

What We Deliver

Climate Risk & Exposure Mapping

Climate Risk & Exposure Mapping

Climate Risk & Exposure Mapping

We assess where and how climate hazards affect your operations and value chain, including:

  • Site, asset and supply-chain exposure to heat, flood, fire, drought and water stress
  • Forward-looking climate projections aligned with NGFS or IPCC pathways

Identification of critical infrastructure and logistics vulnerabilities


This establishes a robust physical risk baseline aligned with AASB S2 requirements.

Scenario Design & Assumptions

Climate Risk & Exposure Mapping

Climate Risk & Exposure Mapping

We construct plausible, decision-relevant scenarios, typically including:

  • Orderly, delayed and disorderly transition pathways
  • Short, medium and long-term time horizons
  • Defined assumptions for temperature, policy, carbon price, energy, water and hazard frequency

Scenarios are documented with clear assumptions and uncertainty ranges, supporting governance and assurance.

Financial Impact Quantification

Climate Risk & Exposure Mapping

Capital, Strategy & Resilience Options

This is where Lever Impact differentiates.


We translate climate scenarios into financial drivers across the enterprise, including:

  • Revenue and volume impacts
  • Cost inflation (energy, water, logistics, insurance, procurement)
  • Capital expenditure and adaptation investment
  • Downtime, disruption and recovery costs
  • Margin, EBITDA, cash flow and valuat

This is where Lever Impact differentiates.


We translate climate scenarios into financial drivers across the enterprise, including:

  • Revenue and volume impacts
  • Cost inflation (energy, water, logistics, insurance, procurement)
  • Capital expenditure and adaptation investment
  • Downtime, disruption and recovery costs
  • Margin, EBITDA, cash flow and valuation effects


Outputs include scenario-based P&L, cash flow and balance sheet impacts, enabling boards to see how climate risk changes financial outcomes, not just narratives.

Capital, Strategy & Resilience Options

Capital, Strategy & Resilience Options

Capital, Strategy & Resilience Options

We convert analysis into actionable decisions, including:

  • Ranking resilience and adaptation options by NPV, ROI and payback
  • Assessing capital allocation trade-offs under different scenarios
  • Linking scenario outcomes to transition plans and funding strategies

We convert analysis into actionable decisions, including:

  • Ranking resilience and adaptation options by NPV, ROI and payback
  • Assessing capital allocation trade-offs under different scenarios
  • Linking scenario outcomes to transition plans and funding strategies
  • Identifying opportunities to strengthen supply-chain resilience and asset performance


This supports investment committees, lenders and investors evaluating long-term value.

Disclosure & Assurance Readiness

Capital, Strategy & Resilience Options

Disclosure & Assurance Readiness

We prepare AASB S2 | IFRS S2-aligned outputs, including:

  • Scenario narratives and quantified results
  • Assumption registers and data lineage
  • Controls and documentation suitable for assurance review
  • Board-ready materials and decision packs


The result is disclosure that is credible, defensible and decision-useful.

Why Lever Impact

Finance-first Expert

We anchor climate analysis in corporate finance, valuation and capital logic.

Built for boards and investors

Our outputs are designed for capital allocation, funding decisions and governance, not technical appendices.

Integrated with broader advisory

Climate scenario analysis connects seamlessly with our Sustainability Reporting, GHG Accounting, Energy Transition Finance and Capital Advisory services.

Assurance-aware by design

Our work is structured to withstand audit, regulator and investor confidence under AASB S2.

Who We Support

Listed and Group 1 Entities

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

Private and Mid-Market Companies

preparing for mandatory AASB sustainability disclosures.

Private and Mid-Market Companies

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

Private and Mid-Market Companies

seeking credible carbon reporting to win enterprise contracts or financing.

SMEs & Exporters

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

responding to supply chain carbon-data requests and tender requirements.

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

Investors, Family Offices & PE Firms

building carbon transparency into portfolio management.

Related Services

  • Sustainability & ESG Reporting
  • Sustainable Finance Strategy
  • Carbon Accounting Implementation
  • Capital Advisory

  • ESG Transformation
  • Energy Transition
  • Sustainability Reporting
  • GHG Accounting
  • Climate Scenario Analysis
  • Capital Advisory
  • Deal Advisory
  • CFO Services
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions

Lever Impact

The content provided on this website by Lever Impact Pty Ltd (ABN 96 660 780 889) is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute professional advice. While we strive to keep the information up-to-date and correct, we make no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability, or availability with respect to the website or the information, products, services, or related graphics contained on the website for any purpose. Any reliance you place on such information is therefore strictly at your own risk. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation. Lever Impact Pty Ltd, its employees, agents, and representatives accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or reliance on the information or services provided on this website.


Lever Impact Capital Pty Ltd (ABN 70 693 349 647) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (AR No. 001319049) of BMYG Capital Pty Ltd (AFSL 505332). Any financial product advice provided by Lever Impact Capital Pty Ltd is general advice for wholesale clients only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider whether the information is appropriate for your circumstances. Financial services are provided exclusively to wholesale clients as defined under the Corporations Act.

 

BMYG Capital Pty Ltd, as the Australian Financial Services Licensee, does not operate, maintain or control this website and does not make any representations or warranties in relation to the accuracy, completeness or content of any information contained on this website. To the extent permitted by law, BMYG Capital Pty Ltd accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the content of this website. 


Lever Impact Pty Ltd does not provide financial product advice. All financial services described on this website are provided solely by Lever Impact Capital Pty Ltd (ACN 693 349 647; AR No, 001319049), as a Corporate Authorised Representative of BMYG Capital Pty Ltd (AFSL 505332), and in accordance with applicable licensing conditions.


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